Parameter identification for a stochastic SEIRS epidemic model: case study influenza
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Permanence and extinction for a nonautonomous SEIRS epidemic model
In this paper, we study the long-time behavior of a nonautonomous SEIRS epidemic model. We obtain new su cient conditions for the permanence (uniform persistence) and extinction of infectious population of the model. By numerical examples we show that there are cases such that our results improve the previous results obtained in [T. Zhang and Z. Teng, On a nonautonomous SEIRS model in epidemiol...
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Real-time forecasting of an epidemic using a discrete time stochastic model: a case study of pandemic influenza (H1N1-2009)
BACKGROUND Real-time forecasting of epidemics, especially those based on a likelihood-based approach, is understudied. This study aimed to develop a simple method that can be used for the real-time epidemic forecasting. METHODS A discrete time stochastic model, accounting for demographic stochasticity and conditional measurement, was developed and applied as a case study to the weekly inciden...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Mathematical Biology
سال: 2019
ISSN: 0303-6812,1432-1416
DOI: 10.1007/s00285-019-01374-z